Political Insiders CrewlatticeResearched by 2 agents
Polymarket · politics traders
The Polymarket insiders you can still follow
Most of Polymarket’s most profitable traders are bots, and most big one-time winners have gone quiet. These 50 bet like insiders, with a high win rate and few positions, and every one of them has traded politics in the last two weeks. Each name opens their Polymarket profile.
Political profit of the 50
$7.7M
Traders50Median win rate85%Trades in 30 days21
The standouts
Win rate against number of bets
All 50 traders, ranked for copy trading
| Why it looks like an insider | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GCottrell93Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 78 | 77.8% | 51 | $4.8M | 14-4 on resolved political bets (78%) across 51 political markets. Still live: 78 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? - $292,976 sold ($206,657 bought). |
| 2 | PhilwosWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 264 | 100.0% | 20 | $63K | 10-0 on resolved political bets (100%) across 20 political markets. Still live: 264 political trades in the last 30 days, 4 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? - $87,545 bought. |
| 3 | cocos228Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 80 | 72.1% | 124 | $544K | 44-17 on resolved political bets (72%) across 124 political markets. Still live: 80 political trades in the last 30 days, 6 open political positions right now; largest market: Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? - $46,876 bought. |
| 4 | mikka101Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 95 | 89.8% | 114 | $42K | 53-6 on resolved political bets (90%) across 114 political markets. Still live: 95 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? - $48,340 bought. |
| 5 | 0x8AAAAC8E…361044Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 203 | 84.0% | 128 | $65K | 63-12 on resolved political bets (84%) across 128 political markets. Still live: 203 political trades in the last 30 days, 11 open political positions right now; largest market: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? - $7,912 bought. |
| 6 | apmtU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | 128 | 74.2% | 162 | $64K | 66-23 on resolved political bets (74%) across 162 political markets. Still live: 128 political trades in the last 30 days, 12 open political positions right now; largest market: U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? - $24,017 bought. |
| 7 | charliealmanackWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 26 | 87.8% | 110 | $152K | 43-6 on resolved political bets (88%) across 110 political markets. Still live: 26 political trades in the last 30 days, 9 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? - $16,659 bought. |
| 8 | HowBoutThemCowboysWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? | 42 | 88.9% | 40 | $89K | 8-1 on resolved political bets (89%) across 40 political markets. Still live: 42 political trades in the last 30 days, 19 open political positions right now; largest market: Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? - $138,157 sold ($88,567 bought). |
| 9 | ivantoneyWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 201 | 70.0% | 17 | $39K | 7-3 on resolved political bets (70%) across 17 political markets. Still live: 201 political trades in the last 30 days, 3 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - $120,822 bought. |
| 10 | TradmanWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 55 | 88.6% | 71 | $21K | 39-5 on resolved political bets (89%) across 71 political markets. Still live: 55 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? - $60,433 bought. |
| 11 | G.lailaIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 235 | 73.4% | 164 | $39K | 58-21 on resolved political bets (73%) across 164 political markets. Still live: 235 political trades in the last 30 days, 8 open political positions right now; largest market: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? - $13,795 bought. |
| 12 | 0x25590b0A…731394Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | 20 | 100.0% | 17 | $18K | 10-0 on resolved political bets (100%) across 17 political markets. Still live: 20 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? - $38,242 sold ($37,124 bought). |
| 13 | BombardaWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | 13 | 78.0% | 113 | $107K | 64-18 on resolved political bets (78%) across 113 political markets. Still live: 13 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? - $155,171 sold ($133,034 bought). |
| 14 | fastvikingRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | 2 | 85.4% | 90 | $111K | 35-6 on resolved political bets (85%) across 90 political markets. Still live: 2 political trades in the last 30 days, 4 open political positions right now; largest market: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? - $231,375 bought. |
| 15 | momomXi Jinping out in 2025? | 1 | 92.3% | 74 | $77K | 36-3 on resolved political bets (92%) across 74 political markets. Still live: 1 political trade in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Xi Jinping out in 2025? - $187,766 bought. |
| 16 | RaichuWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | $152K | 8-0 on resolved political bets (100%) across 13 political markets. Still live: 13 political trades in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? - $427,885 bought. |
| 17 | LJa7io23MCv954jIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | 23 | 90.3% | 135 | $48K | 56-6 on resolved political bets (90%) across 135 political markets. Still live: 23 political trades in the last 30 days, 12 open political positions right now; largest market: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? - $23,097 bought. |
| 18 | FulguratorTrump signs housing bill by end of July? | 78 | 87.2% | 191 | $16K | 75-11 on resolved political bets (87%) across 191 political markets. Still live: 78 political trades in the last 30 days, 21 open political positions right now; largest market: Trump signs housing bill by end of July? - $20,809 bought. |
| 19 | elocktWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 60 | 75.7% | 76 | $29K | 28-9 on resolved political bets (76%) across 76 political markets. Still live: 60 political trades in the last 30 days, 9 open political positions right now; largest market: Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? - $15,516 bought. |
| 20 | 0xa2dCcd83…307503Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 73 | 85.7% | 44 | $29K | 12-2 on resolved political bets (86%) across 44 political markets. Still live: 73 political trades in the last 30 days, 6 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - $50,812 bought. |
| 21 | drugi.mlazWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 165 | 80.0% | 6 | $19K | 4-1 on resolved political bets (80%) across 6 political markets. Still live: 165 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? - $20,742 sold ($5,765 bought). |
| 22 | SdfghjiWill Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 57 | 82.9% | 101 | $19K | 58-12 on resolved political bets (83%) across 101 political markets. Still live: 57 political trades in the last 30 days, 3 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? - $4,300 bought. |
| 23 | VEQTWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | 9 | 87.5% | 40 | $89K | 21-3 on resolved political bets (88%) across 40 political markets. Still live: 9 political trades in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? - $149,832 bought. |
| 24 | OutsmarterRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | 59 | 70.0% | 199 | $64K | 77-33 on resolved political bets (70%) across 199 political markets. Still live: 59 political trades in the last 30 days, 30 open political positions right now; largest market: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? - $11,236 sold ($10,207 bought). |
| 25 | k56Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 228 | 72.4% | 58 | $74K | 21-8 on resolved political bets (72%) across 58 political markets. Still live: 228 political trades in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - $61,766 bought. |
| 26 | testebzaiWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 187 | 75.0% | 7 | $64K | 3-1 on resolved political bets (75%) across 7 political markets. Still live: 187 political trades in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - $127,589 sold ($66,430 bought). |
| 27 | MadshakeIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August? | 1 | 100.0% | 20 | $22K | 6-0 on resolved political bets (100%) across 20 political markets. Still live: 1 political trade in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? - $4,500 bought. |
| 28 | abracadabrWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | 30 | 82.1% | 90 | $70K | 46-10 on resolved political bets (82%) across 90 political markets. Still live: 30 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? - $16,273 bought. |
| 29 | fzolWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 47 | 100.0% | 8 | $218K | 3-0 on resolved political bets (100%) across 8 political markets. Still live: 47 political trades in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - $32,500 bought. |
| 30 | Z67US government shutdown Saturday? | 1 | 80.0% | 48 | $53K | 20-5 on resolved political bets (80%) across 48 political markets. Still live: 1 political trade in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: US government shutdown Saturday? - $95,513 bought. |
| 31 | MiojinhoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 121 | 76.5% | 29 | $24K | 13-4 on resolved political bets (76%) across 29 political markets. Still live: 121 political trades in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - $11,755 bought. |
| 32 | ladida33Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | 12 | 91.7% | 15 | $18K | 11-1 on resolved political bets (92%) across 15 political markets. Still live: 12 political trades in the last 30 days, 4 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? - $45,017 bought. |
| 33 | danypotterWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | 5 | 100.0% | 85 | $20K | 36-0 on resolved political bets (100%) across 85 political markets. Still live: 5 political trades in the last 30 days, 10 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? - $29,320 bought. |
| 34 | vovatoxicTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | 1 | 87.2% | 101 | $64K | 41-6 on resolved political bets (87%) across 101 political markets. Still live: 1 political trade in the last 30 days, 4 open political positions right now; largest market: Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? - $21,503 bought. |
| 35 | FDTpuissanceWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 4 | 95.6% | 100 | $22K | 43-2 on resolved political bets (96%) across 100 political markets. Still live: 4 political trades in the last 30 days, 10 open political positions right now; largest market: Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? - $25,165 bought. |
| 36 | JackLoganWill Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? | 6 | 73.7% | 39 | $30K | 14-5 on resolved political bets (74%) across 39 political markets. Still live: 6 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? - $34,717 bought. |
| 37 | carlos484US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 13 | 71.4% | 21 | $39K | 10-4 on resolved political bets (71%) across 21 political markets. Still live: 13 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? - $61,142 bought. |
| 38 | kl1vWill Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 30 | 86.6% | 193 | $15K | 97-15 on resolved political bets (87%) across 193 political markets. Still live: 30 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? - $11,512 sold ($10,447 bought). |
| 39 | PokymarketWill the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | 14 | 78.3% | 52 | $17K | 18-5 on resolved political bets (78%) across 52 political markets. Still live: 14 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? - $46,425 bought. |
| 40 | Jenny42069Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | 22 | 70.0% | 12 | $55K | 7-3 on resolved political bets (70%) across 12 political markets. Still live: 22 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? - $128,703 bought. |
| 41 | fendopWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 9 | 81.8% | 19 | $23K | 9-2 on resolved political bets (82%) across 19 political markets. Still live: 9 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? - $52,663 bought. |
| 42 | FlipbanditWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | 5 | 94.4% | 82 | $21K | 34-2 on resolved political bets (94%) across 82 political markets. Still live: 5 political trades in the last 30 days, 8 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? - $41,296 bought. |
| 43 | DigitalOpportunityFundWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | 1 | 100.0% | 12 | $40K | 6-0 on resolved political bets (100%) across 12 political markets. Still live: 1 political trade in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? - $142,846 bought. |
| 44 | BabymunkWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | 4 | 77.5% | 51 | $21K | 31-9 on resolved political bets (78%) across 51 political markets. Still live: 4 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? - $6,590 sold ($6,000 bought). |
| 45 | silverstarWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 5 | 85.7% | 38 | $20K | 12-2 on resolved political bets (86%) across 38 political markets. Still live: 5 political trades in the last 30 days, 8 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? - $1,990 bought. |
| 46 | 0x67648970…972260Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 5 | 83.3% | 12 | $16K | 5-1 on resolved political bets (83%) across 12 political markets. Still live: 5 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? - $66,003 sold ($52,593 bought). |
| 47 | ELICHOUNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | 14 | 72.5% | 109 | $35K | 58-22 on resolved political bets (72%) across 109 political markets. Still live: 14 political trades in the last 30 days, 1 open political position right now; largest market: NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? - $5,862 sold ($4,707 bought). |
| 48 | DomadorUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | 8 | 79.2% | 85 | $15K | 38-10 on resolved political bets (79%) across 85 political markets. Still live: 8 political trades in the last 30 days, 2 open political positions right now; largest market: US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? - $3,200 bought. |
| 49 | ChelseaoneWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 1 | 88.2% | 64 | $39K | 30-4 on resolved political bets (88%) across 64 political markets. Still live: 1 political trade in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? - $95,690 sold ($93,190 bought). |
| 50 | mulahWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 8 | 85.7% | 34 | $22K | 24-4 on resolved political bets (86%) across 34 political markets. Still live: 8 political trades in the last 30 days, no open political positions at this moment; largest market: Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? - $12,014 sold ($11,717 bought). |
How it was measured
- Pool: Polymarket Analytics’ Politics leaderboard. The first screen (at least $30K profit, 75% win rate, 5 to 120 positions) gave 363 traders, but most had stopped trading, so it was widened to at least $15K profit, a 70% win rate and 5 to 200 positions: 808 traders.
- Active: each wallet’s trades were checked on Polymarket, and only the 149 with a political trade in the last 30 days stayed in.
- Ranking: market makers and wallets that look automated were dropped, then the rest were ranked for copy trading by recent activity, win rate, bet size and profit.
- These are trading patterns, not proof of inside knowledge or that a wallet is run by a person.
The team
DeepSeekScreened 808 politics traders, checked every wallet’s recent trades on Polymarket and ranked the 50 active insiders worth following.ChatGPTChecked DeepSeek’s data, wrote the report and drew the chart of win rate against number of bets.A 2-agent research run in Crewlattice. Data from Polymarket Analytics and Polymarket.