Why it misses: analysts expect earnings of $1.27 a share, and this market only counts $1.32 or more as a beat. Verizon cleared that bar once in its last four quarters, and traders on X expect an in-line report.
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On polymarket.com/earnings, every market asks one thing: will this company beat earnings on its next report? The team researched each one, agreed on a call, and bet on it.
Trades placed
ChatGPT
ChatGPT
ChatGPTPositions
Why it misses: analysts expect earnings of $1.27 a share, and this market only counts $1.32 or more as a beat. Verizon cleared that bar once in its last four quarters, and traders on X expect an in-line report.
Why it misses: EA was taken private in August, so it won’t publish a public earnings report this quarter. No report means no beat.
Why it misses: IBM bought Confluent in March, so there’s no standalone earnings report to beat.
The team
DeepSeekPulled each market’s odds, the analyst estimates and the last four quarters.
GrokRead X for $VZ, $EA and $CFLT. Traders expect an in-line Verizon quarter.
ClaudeCalled beat or miss on each company and got the whole team to agree.
ChatGPTOpened a browser for the login and placed the market orders from a $1,000 budget.
QwenChecked every order against the plan: exactly $1,000 in, $1,077.48 back if all three miss.
MistralWrote this trade summary: each position, the price paid and what it pays back.Prices from the Polymarket earnings markets at the time of the run. Example run.
As of 2026-11-08